jpzorrilla |
Posted: Fri Apr 11, 2014 8:21 pm Post subject: Rookie and Gixen vs shiller and snipers (my Gixen story) |
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I collect old die-cast cars, and recently began to use ebay more often. I did my homework and found about Gixen.
I used it a couple of times as a safety for two pretty obscure auctions, that I was pretty certain to win. I did, and in both Gixen worked perfectly. There were no other bids so it was not really necessary, but they both landed 5 seconds before the end. I was covered. Awesome!
So the other day a big lot popped up that I was interested in, actually many lots from the same seller. There was an item that was a MUST HAVE, some were really cool, and many were "nice to have's".
All started at $1, and shipping was just $0.50 for additional items (very cheap for my country), so I decided to put Gixen to the test and launch a full-scale assault for the lot!
A few days ago I made the initial bid for all items. You could say it's unnecessary if you're going to snipe anyway, but I read somewhere that sellers can cancel auctions at any time... BUT if there are any bids they have to pay a fee, so bidding would discourage that.
Days went by pretty quietly, some bids here and there, and only a couple of items really escalated a little.
Now, the auctions were ending today, and I noticed something interesting. Out of nowhere a guy starts bidding in some items. What caught my attention was that he (or she!) was bidding on the items that already had the most bids. This looked a lot like bid shilling to me. The guy had very low score, only 11 (well, my score's low too so it doesn't mean a lot), and has 81% bid activity with this seller. So that made me suspicious.
A few hours to go, I started being outbid in most auctions. I calmly did my math in Excel to figure what I could afford, and set up my 29 snipes in Gixen. A couple of the cool ones were the highest, around $10 to $15, and my MUST HAVE was low, still around $1.30.
But I didn't like the situation, I didn't know if there were other snipers out there and suspected the seller was a shiller, so I figured how high I could go. I set my MUST HAVE to $41.57, the cool ones at $31.57 and $26.57, and the lesser cools at $15.15. Most of the rest I had to keep very low, at $2 or 3.
Time ran out and, just in case, I made a manual snipe on my MUST HAVE. It landed at -5 seconds. Gixen hit at -4s. A 688-rated sniper hit at -6, but the bid was $21 (the tricky bastard trying to beat any $20 bids!) But it was too low. The MUST HAVE was mine at $21.50!
Next, the Cool #1. It was the most disputed lot, between an 864 and a 293. It was stable at $15, until the 11 guy (shiller?) bid $20. The other guy bid $20.50, but was outbid again. This time he only got to $23.50 and gave up. My Gixen snipe hit at -5s. The 11 guy had bid $30. I won with $31. My max was $31.57. Very close! And most probably shilled?! But victory again!
The Cool #2 was again disputed between two guys, and stabilized at $13.51. Again, the 11 guy drops a $20 bid. Gixen hits at -4s with a max of $26.57, so I got another one for $20.50!
I got two other cool ones at $5.50 and $10.50, both beating the 11 guy. Very cool price for those two. And somehow I FORGOT TO SNIPE another cool one and lost it... and it sold for 5 bucks... NOO!
This all happened quickly, but the bids were like a minute apart, so the 11 guy actually started reacting and posting a bunch of new bids! And the remaining were all my weaker bids, so there was nothing I could do. The trusty Gixen hits fell against the dirty shiller's proxy bids, sometimes even lower than the current bid. Only a few leftovers could be saved. But I got a little gem at $0.99.
After the dust settled, I was left with 8 lots. I did get the ones I really wanted. The price was good and I'm satisfied with the result. Gixen certainly got my back. But there's still that suspicion (or certainty!) that the auctions were shilled, and I would otherwise have got a much sweeter deal.
But that's what you got to deal with if you try to collect pretty rare, 25-year old MOC toys! When they pop up, you got to fight to grab them. And I will certainly be watching when the ones I lost pop up again... that dirty shiller.
Well, that's it for now, I better get some work done to be able to afford some of the crap I bought!
Thanks for reading! And thanks Mario for your wonderful creation! |
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